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‘Nigeria needs fundamental rethinking to progress’

‘Nigeria needs fundamental rethinking to progress’

Nigeria’s expansive budget

We run an economy today that is based on budgeting. But, to a large extent, our culture does not encourage budgeting. In advanced economies that we are copying, if one lives on a monthly salary, it is difficult to expect one to share with members of one’s family, outside those in one’s nuclear family. In some instances, as one’s children attain the age of 18, parents would ask them to move out to get a council flat to live on their own.

There is nothing like: “Sorry, I was passing by and remembered my relation lives here and I said I should stop by to greet him”, and perhaps, expect that in appreciation of the courtesy, one would reach into one’s pockets to accommodate the unexpected visitor. From which budget is that going to come from?

That is why that, even from the federal level, government officials complain about the budget even before they begin to implement it, because what the executive submitted the lawmakers have gone to inject several other things for their selfish interests, thereby making it too expensive for government to manage within the limited resources available.

At individual level, it appears budgets are not meant to be followed. The point is that there are cultural issues that continue to militate against what we want to achieve both as individuals and as a nation.

The good news is that we can tinker with those cultural issues. But, the only way we can do that is to document those issues. Are we documenting the fact that our patronage and rent seeking culture can come between us and the achievement of the objectives of our national budgets?

Or are we aware that our culture is at the roots of the do-or-die politics that is playing out in our polity as a result of the prevalence of a patronage culture, whereby anyone that gets political appointment gets thousands of people hanging on his neck for one support or the other?

Role of corruption

Often we talk about corruption. Nigerians were not born corrupt. If we take the sample of seven year-old Nigerians today and compare with the opinions of their counterparts in Europe on corruption, the truth is that we are most likely going to discover that the latter would be more corrupt than the former.

Children in Europe are more exposed to television and other media, like the Internet, than their counterparts in Nigeria. So, at what point did we lose our innocence to become the most corrupt?

In 1927, Nnamdi Azikiwe went to work in one of the deepest coal mines in West Pennsylvania for six weeks. On coming out to collect his pay, the Janitor handed him only $294.95. He rejected it and threw a challenge at the white guy that he has been short changed. Despite threats to deal with him for his boldness to make such accusation, Zik insisted to have his correct pay. When he was allowed to do the calculation, it was found out that, indeed, about $200 was skimmed off his money.

Today, more than 94 years later, Nigerians, who are the direct descendants of Zik, are first treated in any part of the world as corrupt people, until proven innocent, while the descendants of that white Janitor, who wanted to defraud Zik in 1927, are seen as the epitome of anti-corruption and cleanliness. Yet, Nigerians are not saying anything to ourselves.

Nigerians are not corrupt. Being stupid might be the better word, because we see our leaders steal money from our treasures, monies they, sometimes, don’t need, and go to establish gigantic businesses that help develop other peoples’ economies, leaving the people to die of poverty.

Nigerians need to be more analytical and deeper in our though processes to inspire change.

Getting out of the economic woods

The ideal starting point is for all Nigerians to become less and less selfish and curb our ego. The difference between Nigeria and the advanced countries is the attitude of the citizens. One would not be known for the biggest houses one builds in one’s village when one is gone, but from the value of the sustainable work one did while alive.

We need to undergo a structural mental adjustment as a country to inspire a turnaround in our economy. What Nigeria needs to become a great country is just a few good men, who know what is right, and are ready to lead the change process, as not all Nigerians can change at the same time.

Living in poverty amidst wealth

Nigeria is not that rich, even in natural resources. The wealth of any country is not measured by the number of extractive resources it has, because the future does not belong to these countries that extract and export natural resources, but to those who think and control the wealth of knowledge.

As was documented during the time of the Dutch disease that those countries with natural resources, like crude oil, was likely going to ignore the other potentialities.

Today, as a result of oil, Nigerians have tended to forget the development of the most important resource – the human brain. That is why government continues to focus all its attention to explore, produce and export all the crude oil abroad, and use all the revenues to import refined products for our domestic consumption. What we do is that we import what we have and export what we do not need.

United States produces 8.5million barrels of oil a day, and not one single barrel is sold abroad. They are stored in giant reservoirs for the rainy day. Recall the recent oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico which attracted a lot of global attention by environmentalists. But, what happens in the Niger Delta, as a result of decades of oil exploitation? The western companies have devastated the environment and left the people permanently devalued, just because the technology to explore and produce the crude oil belongs to them.

What if Nigeria did not have oil?

Perhaps, if Nigeria didn’t have oil we would not have governors driving around in official convoys of more than 25 bullet-proof SUVs.

If Nigeria did not have crude oil, probably our expectations would have been managed better. Not only should we manage our expectations from political office holders, who always believe they should be seen as demi-gods, but also the expectations from even the common man in the streets. With that we can focus more on things we can do to make our country a great place, rather than what we can get from our country.

When we look at the way things are going in Nigeria and compare with what is happening in other climes, one is convinced that we are heading for extinction. It is very easy to set us against ourselves.

Nigerians may be laughing over the crisis in Libya and Egypt today. But, if anyone wants to cause a serious upheaval in Nigeria, all that needs to be done is to go to a few markets to amplify a claim of what one religious group has done against another, or one tribal sentiment against another tribe, and the country would collapse on its head in minutes.

When countries want to develop, either to stay at the top or rise, they don’t spare any expense to go at it. No resource is too costly for them to remain at the top.

Sharia banking and the legal question Societies develop on the basis of trust. When trust disappears, fear creeps in and society goes back to that state that Thomas Hobbes describes as ‘short and brutish’.

If there was trust, one would not need to talk about whether Sharia banking is in the constitution or not, because often we tend to be so fixated about constitution.

From the finance perspective, Sharia banking is a product of financial diversification. The Islamic Bank of Britain has branches all over the country and there is no furore about it, as we have in Nigeria. Islamic banking is growing around the world, and Nigeria cannot afford to be left out from the numerous benefits.

We need to have more instruments in the banking industry. If we say we want to become the financial hub of the region or continent, we cannot have the kind of bland banking we have here to get there. We need alternatives for business, beyond collecting deposits and giving loans at huge interest rates.

Nigeria reflects African economy

The sad thing is that a lot of these things about Nigeria also apply to the development in most African countries, especially sub-Saharan Africa. It is not about how others have helped under-develop Africa, but what we have been doing wrong within. The truth is that except we right the wrongs, or the rest of the world correct the wrong they have been doing to Africa, then we cannot make progress.

If we stop being corrupt and undisciplined, and we still live in a global society where the influences of foreign countries can disorganise all our imaginations and calculations, then we won’t get there. If, suddenly, all the foreign countries forget about their personal interests for African countries to make progress, and we don’t change our ways, we wouldn’t also make progress.

We have got to a point where things have become so bad that we must start to solve all the problems at the same time. It is not enough to say, let’s start with fixing energy, because even if there was adequate supply of electricity today and the structures remain unchanged, we probably would not know what to do with it. It is so bad that just fixing that alone would not solve a lot of problems. That is why government has spent about $16billion in that sector since 1999, yet not enough result.

Africa needs to be Crushed

‘Crushed’ is an acronym for the strategies one believes Nigeria, nay Africa, needs to take, if it must get out of the cycle of underdevelopment. It is the title of my latest book: Crushed: Africa’s Tortuous Quest for Development, which has highlighted those fundamentals that are lacking in the continent’s quest for development.

C stands for courage. We need to have the courage to curb corruption.

R stands for being realistic and reasonable in terms of our ambition and the things we can achieve as a nation. It also means that we need to accept responsibility for the things we want to achieve for our lives.

U stands for unity, without which we are finished. This is something we do not have. We can mouth it, but our actions and pronouncements daily shows that we are not ready to be united as a people.

S stands for Strategy. It is not enough to wish or pray we should be great. Yet, it is not enough to merely work for greatness. We should be able to imagine the journey, catalogue the likely obstacles (both internal and external), and plan appropriate responses from day one.

H stands for hard work, history and humility. Development is not a destination but what one works for. Winston Churchill said ‘Any nation that forgets its past is not entitled to a future’. We don’t care about our own history. Schools don’t teach history anymore. Where they do, one only sees colonial history being taught, and nothing about contemporary history. We need to document our history to provide the basis for learning how to build our future.

E is for education. Though Nigeria has education, there is a disconnect between what we have and what we really need.

D stands for democracy. We run by far the most expensive democracy in the world, where lawmakers are earning, indisputably, more than the U.S. president. Our democracy has become a huge drainpipe, more problem than it solves.

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Is gold jewellery a good investment?

Is gold jewellery a good investment?

Chidinma Okoro has been unemployed since she got laid off in September last year. Her husband’s previously thriving business has struggled for a few years. This made Mrs Okoro’s contribution all the more critical for the family. With school fees due, things had become quite desperate. She then heard about a friend who had sold some of her gold and received a handsome amount for it.

Mrs Okoro gathered three gold chains-one of them broken, two pairs of earrings, and one half of a pair, five gold pendants and some old fashioned pieces that she hardly ever wore. The dealer weighed up her haul and gave Mrs Okoro N360, 000.

She was overjoyed, as they now had enough money to take care of their immediate needs. It is at such economic crossroads that people often sell little used but valuable jewellery to help to settle their bills and debts.

For those who keep gold jewellery, selling it at this time is all the more tempting with adverts all over the Internet and with gold dealers beckoning. The offers are so appealing. Before you decide to go ahead, carefully consider some of these issues.

How much is your jewellery worth?

Unfortunately, many desperate consumers are getting fleeced. Adverts tend to publish phrases like “highest prices guaranteed”, “best prices paid”, “competitive prices” to attract clients; buyers often appear reluctant to reveal what they will pay per ounce or gramme of gold. There is usually a wide variance between a fair price and what the seller actually receives. Indeed, if you take gold jewellery of the same weight and karat to a number of dealers, you will be surprised at the number of different offers.

Have at least a rough idea of what your jewellery is worth before you approach potential buyers. Start by obtaining the current spot price of gold, to at least give you some idea of what to expect, otherwise, you run the risk of accepting a ridiculous offer that doesn’t really reflect the true value of your pieces.

Who will buy your gold?

Trade your gold through reputable and reliable jewellery dealers who have been in the business for some years; they are likely to be more transparent in their dealings as they have a reputation to protect. In the alternative, you can choose dealers with good customer ratings, or who come highly recommended by your usual jeweller or trusted friends.

Protect your gold Secure your expensive gold jewellery in a home safe, bank safe deposit box, or other protected location. It is a good idea to properly insure your jewellery for its full value so you have additional protection against loss from theft or fire. To do this, you will usually be required to purchase additional coverage from your insurance company through an endorsement. In this regard, be sure to keep receipts and any documents or certificates safely, with an additional copy stored on file or in an alternative location as an extra precaution. These will be important should you ever have to make a claim.

Is jewellery a good investment?

In the traditional sense of investing, a good investment is one which appreciates steadily in value over time. Jewellery is a bit like a new car; you tend to lose value the moment you drive it out of the car show room. Second-hand jewellery usually attracts much less than its initial value. The overall value of jewellery must also take into account more subjective elements, such as the design or style, fashion trends and the skill or workmanship involved in crafting the pieces. The mark up on jewellery can be so significant as all these elements are included in its cost. This all makes gold jewellery a very worthwhile gift, but not necessarily an ideal investment. One should thus be cautious when purchasing gold jewellery for investment purposes.

Research has shown that gold does add some stability to a diversified investment portfolio consisting of the traditional asset classes, including cash, bonds, mutual funds and stocks. Some advisors even go as far as recommending that a balanced portfolio should include between 5 and 10 percent allocation to gold. Commodity prices tend to be volatile and gold is no different so it is important to spread your risk.

There are various ways of investing in gold. These include: investing directly through the purchase of certified gold coins or sovereigns, gold bullion or bars, or indirectly through shares in gold mining companies, gold based mutual funds, or Exchange Traded Funds (EFT), which are a most popular vehicle for investing in gold. This provides a convenient way of owning the metal as you don’t keep physical possession of it, and as such do not run the attendant risks. Yet one has the flexibility of being able to sell and readily convert it into cash.

Investing in gold has been a widely accepted financial practice for thousands of years. In recent times, as investors all over the world have seen their asset values plummet, from real estate to stocks, it is no surprise that with gold hitting record levels of over $1,400 per ounce, even the most conservative and traditional investors have begun to look to this metal as a good alternative. Gold jewellery has been a convenient and enjoyable way to preserve wealth and is a means to transfer that wealth through generations in a form that has, not only monetary value, but significant sentimental value as well.

Write to personalfinance@234next.com with your questions and comments. All letters will be considered for publication, and if selected, may be edited.

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Nigeria rises to the call

Nigeria rises to the call

The impending
collapse of Laurent Gbagbo’s regime will mark not just the end of that
country’s nightmare: it will signal the return of Nigeria as a voice
and a leader of Africa.

When Gbagbo and his
cronies declined last November to accept the results of an election in
which he was beaten by eight percentage points, the Jonathan
administration took a principled stand and has been out in front ever
since.

Foreign Minister
Odein Ajumogobia has worked assiduously behind the scenes and publicly
to shape the diplomatic environment, to isolate Gbagbo, to impose
sanctions, and to point him in the direction of the exit. The aim of
this was not just to respect democracy but to avoid the violence that
follows in an ethnically and religiously complicated society when it is
not honored.

This is no small
matter. In the world of international diplomacy, no censure of a state
or a leader is possible without the assent of the region. The Economic
Community of West African States (Ecowas), under the Chairmanship of
Goodluck Jonathan, recognized Allasane Ouattara on December 8, and
called on Gbagbo to honor the outcome of the electorate.

In early March,
after months of doomed mediation and wrangling as it battled to speak
with one voice, the African Union recognized Ouattara as the legitimate
winner of the election and endorsed a plan for him to set up a national
unity government.

On March 14
Ouatarra stopped in Abuja to meet with President Jonathan, the one
leader on the continent he chose to consult before heading back to
Abidjan for the home stretch.

On Wednesday night
the United Nations Security Council voted for Gbagbo’s removal and for
a freeze of all Gbagbo’s foreign assets. As in the other initiatives,
this was driven by Nigeria, this time in concert with France.

The longer that
Ggagbo has stayed on, toying with volatile ethnic and religious
sentiment, the more the prospect of massive bloodletting has risen and
the violence of Gbagbo’s end days are a grim testament to that.

Despite the
determination of the Gbagbo forces to fight to the bitter end, the
military push from the reconstituted Republican forces coupled with
economic and financial sanctions and steadily growing isolation – in
the teeth of vicious propaganda from the Gbagbo side – has made his
downfall inevitable.

And, while no-one
can celebrate the tragic killings currently underway in Abidjan and in
the west of the country, this will have been a victory for democrats in
Africa.

It contrasts and
counteracts places like Zimbabwe, where Robert Mugabe has lost election
after election and deployed horrific violence against his opponents,
but remains firmly in power.

The South African
Development Community (SADC) has pussy footed around Mugabe’s abuses
for years. Apart from never resolving the crisis, this sets a poor
example. Every bad loser of an election that gets away with using
violence and the instruments of state to stay in power encourages the
next one. The line in the sand that was drawn under Gbagbo is of
importance to more than Ivory Coast.

The firm leadership
and deft diplomacy that Nigeria has shown is desperately needed on this
continent. And Nigeria will have to continue to play a leadership role
as the international community assists the reconstruction of a
shattered Ivory Coast.

The AU represents a
number of often conflicting and competing states, and is at its best as
a mediator but it can no more take the lead than the European Union
can. As has been shown recently in Libya it is only states, like France
or the United Kingdom that can take the decisive steps, for better or
worse, that actually make a difference.

There was a time
when, for all their sins, Thabo Mbeki and Olusegun Obasanjo had a
broader vision for Africa and were taken seriously in the councils of
the world. But during the last four years there has been a vacuum in
pan-African leadership – unless one would use that word to describe
Moammer Ghaddafi who as Chair of the African Union spent his time
fantasizing about a United States of Africa (with its capital in Libya).

Nigeria has a long
and respectable reputation for peace keeping in Africa. But as everyone
knows, the brand has been tarnished by military rule, corruption and
the debacle of the 2007 election.

Nigeria under
President Umaru Yar ‘Adua took a backseat. A country of 150 million, a
model and a challenge of Muslim and Christian co-existence, a holder of
great strategic natural resources, the most populous country in Africa,
was not afforded a lot of respect.

Since taking office
last year, President Jonathan has turned that around – not with grand
gestures but rather by showing Nigeria as a responsible citizen of the
global community. Nigeria is building a case for a permanent seat on
the UN Security Council.

As a non-permanent
member of the UN Security Council, Nigeria voted to authorize the
action that potentially prevented the slaughter of thousands of people
in Libya. There are many who disagree with that position, and the armed
intervention that followed, but at least it was a position. Nigeria
stood up and was counted.

This is not to say
that Nigeria’s prominence in global forums should be dependent on its
remaining a reliable ally of the West. The country has to be judged on
its strategic and human importance, and its ability to give voice to a
billion Africans, especially on those issues that touch the continent.

To do that, Nigeria
needs to put its own house in order. The economic growth that is
forecast for the next few years, and that is forging a new and surging
middle class, must be accompanied by social provision for the poor and
the underclass. Nigeria cannot afford to be near the bottom of every
social indicator.

And an election
that is at the very least a marked improvement on 2007 is essential for
Nigeria to be able to defend democracy on the continent, as it has in
Ivory Coast.

Phillip van Niekerk is the former editor of South Africa’s Mail & Guardian newspaper.

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Breaking News

Breaking News

Mrs. Jonathan needs no help

The spokesperson for President Goodluck
Jonathan has finally reacted to the money laundering accusations that
have been trailing Patience Jonathan, wife of the Nigerian president.

“A false money laundering accusation can
do absolutely nothing to taint the perfect image of the very popular
Patience Goodluck candidate,” he stated.

“We couldn’t agree more,” spokesperson for Nigerian Twitters said. “The woman has done all the tainting all by herself.”

Glo, MTN delay election results

The Independent National Electoral
Commission has issued a statement blaming two of Nigerian’s leading
telecommunications networks for result verification delays.

Over the last week, the commission added
Nigerians to its Blackberry messenger list, in an attempt to be more
efficient with delivering information regarding the elections. It had
sought to be able to verify the results of elections by pinging voters.

Unfortunately, and in what was
considered completely unpredictable, the plan was thwarted when most of
the phone networks seemed jammed at the end of the first round of
elections.

“INEC and its budget cannot be blamed
for any delays,” an INEC source declared. “It is the fault of mobile
network providers who failed to deliver all our messages. The fate of
this country rested on Blackberry PINs and pings and, as you can all
see, they have let us down.”

Cecelia Ibru gives back to society

On behalf of all Nigerians, Oceanic
Bank’s former CEO, Cecilia Ibru, has filed a suit against Nduka
Obaigbena of ThisDay newspapers, accusing him of false advertising and
promotion with the election polls published in his newspaper last week.

Mrs. Ibru, who suffered a fall from
glory when she was sacked as bank head for her gross incompetence, has
now openly blamed Mr. Obaigbena and his continual awards for leading her
astray.

“Being piled with accolades which read
“Banker of the Year” and “Most Successful Bank of the Year” contributed
to bringing my demise,” she argued. “I cannot stand aside and watch any
other Nigerians suffer the same fate, which include overconfidence and
overspending.”

My enemies caused my fall, says Tinubu

At a recent Women in Politics awards
ceremony hosted by the Nigerian Feminists Association, Oluremi Tinubu,
senatorial aspirant for the Action Congress of Nigeria and wife of ACN
kingpin, Bola Tinubu, suffered a stage tumble.

While mounting the podium to receive her
award for Breakthrough Female in Politics, the former Lagos State first
lady tripped on her four-inch Christian Louboutin heels and landed on
her back, with dirt speckling her perfectly coiffured weave.

“My enemies are behind this,” Mrs.
Tinubu insisted, as half of the hall rushed to aid her to her feet.
“Jealousy, that’s what it is. Nothing but jealousy.” Well, duh! Of
course, it’s jealousy. Have you seen her campaign posters? Only a blind
woman wouldn’t be jealous of that perfection. Frankly, no one
understands why the ACN boss lady has bothered to do any campaigning.
The photos speak for themselves.

Shekarau keeps winning

American
president, Barack Obama, has recruited ANPP presidential candidate,
Ibrahim Shekarau, into the league of extraordinary orators. This comes
as no surprise to anyone who watched the presidential debate in which
Mr. Shekarau bamboozled the public with his eloquence, with the same
convincing tenacity as President Obama himself.

As if this approval nod from Mr. Obama
was not enough hipster endorsement already, musician Naeto C will follow
in fellow musician D’banj’s footsteps by offering a remix of the
popular hit song “Ten over Ten”. He will be replacing the words “shikena
shikena shikena o” with “Shekarau Shekarau Shekarau o”.

Whatever the outcome of this election, one thing is clear: Mr. Shekarau just keeps winning.

Do you fancy yourself a satirist? Send
your Breaking News spoof pieces to opinion@234next.com, for possible
publication on this page

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ABUJA HEARTBEAT: Season of protest

ABUJA HEARTBEAT: Season of protest

To be or not to be?

That is the question that leaders the world over who have stayed more
than two decades in power must be asking themselves now, after the
avalanche of protests in the Arab world has crumbled otherwise
untouchable demi-gods. Of course, Muammar Gadaffi by now should know
that his days are numbered, not only in Libya but globally. He must be
beginning to realise that he is not invincible and so like the
unrepentant terrorist, is determined to take as many people as possible
with him.

During one of those
sessions where big issues are thrashed endlessly – sometimes leading to
disputes that will not benefit any of us, as the ‘big-big ogas’ being
argued about really do not care and do not know if we ‘small-small
people’ exist – somebody said, “If third term had succeeded, Nigerians
would have seized these worldwide protests as an opportunity to sweep
OBJ out”. Obasanjo did not succeed with that heinous plan and so we
really cannot say if my friend predicted correctly how Nigerians would
have reacted.

Everybody talked
about different protests taking place in their own domain and a good
friend of mine referred to a lady that could not recite the national
anthem but was still given the green light to go on being our
Ambassador without anybody protesting. I quickly cut in and talked
about the protest that is gathering momentum in the hushed voices of
entertainers.

Some comedians and
musicians asked me if entertainers could not file out and begin to
advocate for a Bank of Entertainment, where individuals involved could
go and access loans like is done in the Bank of Industry or Bank of
Agriculture.

One of the veterans
in the business complained about the bank he has been with for donkey
years refusing to give him a loan of just ₦300, 000 to prosecute a
small entertainment project that could employ about 10 youth monthly,
if actualised. They told him that the flow of cash in his account was
not consistent, so they could not give him the loan. He really was just
grumbling because if he takes up a placard who would listen to him?
Well, I have heard his cry that is why you are reading his protest.

The protest train
was passing by and everybody had to say something, so one woman talked
about how her children decided to protest by keeping quiet inside the
car for the rest of the journey home after school, when she went to
pick them up. After careful and very diplomatic insistence, she got the
youngest who was a five-year-old to talk and he said if their mummy
does not buy them ice cream from the sellers hanging around their
school gate, especially in this hot Abuja afternoon sun, like the
parents of their friends in class are wont to do, they would no longer
be chatting with her in the car on their way home from school.
According to my friend, “Dis kind of protest don wear face cap.”

The young lady said
she quickly had to put on her thinking cap in order to douse the
protest and kill that spirit once and for all. She said she told her
children that she has prepared their favourite meal at home as well as
restocked her fridge with their best fruit juice and she ended with
“all this ice-cream that is being sold on bicycles by these men by
their school gate are meant for the less privileged” adding that proper
food and juice meant for good children like them was waiting for at
home. All the placards on the faces of her children were dropped.

The protest ignited
under my nose was set upon me by the teachers in my children’s school
and whereas I was able to cleverly instruct my three children above
eight years, my little boy who just turned five came home asking
different questions at different intervals as the spirit gave him
remembrance.

“Daddy, how old are
you? What is your occupation? How much do you earn in a year? Do you
steal government money? Do you think I will still love you if you are
caught stealing government’s money? If I call you a thief, will you be
mad at me?” I wanted to make him know that indeed, I am already mad at
that teacher who put all these ideas in the mind of a little boy.

While I was trying
to protest to my wife about the little lad, the boy went to his school
bag and brought the written questions and they were his assignment for
the weekend. So are you going to answer the protesting boy or even the
teacher? Or are you not aware that the freedom of information bill has
scaled all huddles?

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Untitled

Untitled

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AH-HAA: School elections

AH-HAA: School elections

Are you
election-weary? Welcome to the club; you are in excellent company!
Surely, by now, you will have voted for your new (perhaps improved?)
members of the National Assembly? How did it go in your neighbourhood?
Did all the relevant agencies involved in the process keep faith with
all those clichéd promises we got? Of course, as the days roll by, we
will learn about the good, the bad, the absurd and the totally daft!
One can’t wait for the gist to start rolling in.

After all that has
been said and done by every candidate in these elections, one really
wonders if they ALL truly believed that they would win. And one is only
trying to be realistic here. The whole process is not as
straightforward as the election for prefect you participated in at
school; you each wrote the name of the person you wanted as prefect on
a piece of paper and placed it in a box or school beret (as the case
may be).

The names were then
compiled from the ‘ballot’ papers and the person whose name cropped up
the most was elected. Sounds so simple; you then wonder why, with a
process so straightforward, we insist on complicating matters.

If any school today
wants a particular person elected as prefect, who may not be the most
popular kid in school, they have enough styles to choose from. The
students may want a non-conformist prefect who will not succumb to the
whims of the school’s management. So the first thing is for the school
to make sure that the popular kid can never, will never and does not,
under any circumstances whatsoever, emerge as a prefect, so that there
will be no one voting for him. How? Simple!

What are the things
the popular kid is good at? Outlaw them; and make ONLY those things he
is bad at, the criteria for participating in the election. And make
these rules with a straight face, never minding how the perceived
unfairness and alleged injustice is viewed by anyone in the school.

There are many
reasons to proffer: “we are the owners of our school and we reserve the
right to decide who will fly the flag of the school. If anyone does not
like our criteria for deciding who is eligible to be a prefect, they
can go to another school and try their luck there. After all, where
were they when we were struggling to build the school to this level,
for them to just come from nowhere and want to be prefect, just like
that?”

Push it further:
“we are the owners of our school and we know the dream of our founding
fathers. We have decided that zoning exists in our school; as a result,
Master/Miss Popularity is hereby declared ineligible because he/she
comes from the wrong zone. It is important that ALL our students feel a
sense of belonging in this school to enhance the unity of our nation
from these formative years; they must feel that it is possible for
their own ethnic group to eventually become prefect one day. If anyone
does not like our zoning policy, they can move to another school that
does not zone students’ leadership positions, please!”

The idea is to work
from answer to question, and do it legally. Follow due process, then
you have no problem. You can add to and/or subtract from the criteria
at will; you own your school, so who is to stop you?

If Miss Popularity
has long hair, outlaw long hair as discriminating against female
students who are ‘blessed’ with short, thin, scanty or just bad hair;
if Master Popularity is athletic, outlaw ‘hunks’ as discriminating
against nerds. In fact, insist on ‘seriousness’, not sports, as the
MAIN consideration of the school’s electoral panel.

Is Miss Popularity
pretty? Outlaw beauty because it discriminates against those not
considered beautiful! Is the popular guy handsome? Outlaw good looks,
and justify it on the ground that not all world leaders are handsome
anyway; after all, handsomeness or beauty is no guarantee of a person’s
performance.

Remember you are
not saying anything new; you and everybody else have heard it all
before! Be prepared, however, for troublesome parents who know too
much. Call their bluff and tell them to meet you in court; or quickly
appoint their popular kid to a position with a great title: “Swagger
Prefect” in charge of all males getting the school swagger right or
“Beauty Prefect” in charge of all females aspiring to some level of
beauty. LOL!

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Lessons from the Kokomaster

Lessons from the Kokomaster

So, about a month
or two ago, a coalition of musicians led by D’banj, who had sung for
the Goodluck Jonathan campaign; and Psquare, who had sung for the
Ibrahim Babangida campaign; gathered the press to a briefing in Ikeja,
Lagos and announced that they were committed to a series of free
rallies across the geopolitical zones of Nigeria to encourage young
people to register and vote.

Something wasn’t
quite right about it – and not just because, as someone who has been
part of civil society working on elections and youth participation over
the past year, the leading lights for this sudden campaign had been the
most reluctant to engage in any non-partisan process to get young
Nigerians involved.

The response across
social networks shared my surprise when the news hit. “We know those
who will do free shows,” one popular name tweeted. “And they have not
yet been born.”

I agreed – a
little. We know those who can do free shows – and they have been born,
they just weren’t the guys who were now involved in this free show. And
conspiracy theorists soon emerged – who swore that the presidential
candidate with the deepest pocket was using this supposedly
non-partisan platform to drive a deeply partisan agenda.

Nothing was heard about the concerts for weeks after.

In that period, a
group of young people (including me, for purposes of full disclosure)
began to work on the country’s first youth-centred political debate –
fixed for March 25. A debate that President Jonathan (you know, the big
pocket candidate) and Muhammadu Buhari had telegraphed a refusal to
attend.

Then, suddenly, on
the eve of the now famous NN24 national presidential debate, whispers
turned to frenzy: D’banj was going to be interviewing President
Jonathan on Silverbird Television. There’s no need to recount the
‘Dbanjing’ (a new word for nodding mumu-ly) that followed, or the
opprobrium that attended D’banj immediately after the interview – as
well as his cohort and boss, Don Jazzy, who made the mistake of trying
to defend the action on Twitter, against a band of angry young people.

As it is, and
obviously as a post-interview fallout, D’banj has not been seen
anywhere near the president. He is said to now have security due to
threats to his life, and his credibility as a youth advocate is
terribly impaired.

What was the
annoyance? Yes, there were some who would get angry anyway just because
D’banj exercised his constitutional right to endorse Mr. Jonathan – a
point which is really, er, pointless, as there is absolutely nothing so
terrible about the Jonathan candidacy that makes it impossible for him
to have true believers.

The anger was,
first, that D’banj positioned himself – wrongly and inappropriately –
as representing the youth. That was weird. Of course, he was buoyed by
his UN Youth ambassadorship, his The Future Awards for Young Person of
the Year and other such laurels, which he mentioned disingenuously
during the interview. But worse for him, was the advertorial that
followed – announcing one of those suspicious “It’s our time” free
concerts, to hold on the same day as the youth debate! Ah, the danger
of free shows.

The battle line was
drawn. Did D’banj and his sponsors really think young people are so
vacuous that they would choose music over a conversation about their
future?

There and then the concert’s buzz died.

Young celebrities
should be paying attention. Last year, when a host of singers and
actors began to gyrate for the candidates, while they denied that money
change hands, antennae were raised. But, of course, it is alright to
endorse a candidate or even do your job as a singer by entertaining at
his event.

The problem is when you get high on your own supply.

D’banj will yet
recover from this – but the elasticity of that recovery will lie in
whether this kind of, well, mistake becomes a pattern with him or
whether it is a one-off; a mistake to which he is entitled.

The choice he makes
will determine if his image goes the way of Onyeka Onwenu – who has now
sung for and ‘endorsed’ three consecutive PDP presidents, in addition
to that pesky concert for Sani Abacha in 1996 – or whether he will
build a powerful, activist brand, like his colleagues Banky W (who
shunned the concert) and MI, (who promptly returned the performance
fee, according to reports).

You see, folks might like it when you sing about the koko, but when push comes to shove, they know what the real koko is.

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DEEPENING DEMOCRACY: The day after

DEEPENING DEMOCRACY: The day after

In September 2010, John Campbell, the former
United States Ambassador to Nigeria, published a sensational article in
Foreign Affairs about the dire consequences of the elections failing.
He argued that “Logistical preparations for the 2011 elections have not
started. There is no voters roll, and despite the president’s signing
of an electoral reform bill, some of these reforms remain unimplemented
four months before the election. The election therefore will almost
certainly lack legitimacy, especially in the eyes of the losers. This
will further drive the country to the brink, especially if winners and
losers are defined by their religious and ethnic backgrounds.” The
response of most Nigerian commentators to Campbell was that the
elections would not be as bad as predicted and that Attahiru Jega and
his team have the capacity to organise an election that is
significantly better than what we have had previously. The day after,
what is our assessment of the elections that took place yesterday? The
three key words that have been repeated over and over again in relation
to the elections are free, fair and credible.

Writing a day before the elections, my feeling is
that in most parts of the country, the elections would be relatively
free. That is to say, most people would be able to go to their polling
unit and cast their vote without impediment. The situation of 2007 in
which, in so many states, voting did not take place and yet results
were declared, is most unlikely to happen. Nigeria, I believe, is on
the path to reclaiming the franchise for its citizens.

The fairness of the elections is maybe the most
problematic element. Fair elections are characterised by a level
playing field for all contestants. It has been clear that candidate
Goodluck Jonathan has had enormous resources to engage in a major media
blitz and run the most elaborate road show Nigeria has ever seen.
Obasanjo’s campaign, which was supported massively by resources raised
for the campaign by “Corporate Nigeria” pales into insignificance
compared to Jonathan’s. The President needs to explain to Nigerians,
the financial sources that are supporting his ongoing campaign.

The credibility of the elections is what we shall
be assessing as from today. In so doing, we are interested in knowing
whether the outcome of the various elections would correspond to the
choices made by a majority of Nigerians. In other words, has the
special procedure developed for the elections produced the desired
result?

To discourage electoral fraud, INEC has developed
a procedure in which accreditation takes place in the morning and
voting in the afternoon. Voters are allowed to stay at the polling
centres to observe the counting and posting of results. Civil society
has encouraged voters to stay, observe the counting, photograph the
results with their cell phones and share the results with their
neighbours to create widespread awareness of polling centre results. It
is unfortunate that the National Security Adviser to the President came
out openly to challenge the procedure. The constitution is clear that
the procedure for voting is determined by INEC. He should have played
the role of a responsible citizen, supporting the decision of the organ
that is constitutionally empowered to act.

Observers and political party agents have been
encouraged to follow the results to the ward, local government and all
other levels of collation of results, so that people know that the
results announced reflect actual results counted at the polling
stations. The day after is the time for reflections and assessment on
the use of the special procedure.

It has been clear since 2003 that the integrity of
Nigeria’s elections would only improve if more and more citizens
protect their mandate. The outcome of this election would depend on
Nigerians taking the opportunity offered by the special procedure to
defend their mandate. This is the path to preventing the fall over the
precipice that Campbell has spoken about.

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SECTION 39: ‘De yoot’ vote

SECTION 39: ‘De yoot’ vote

As we wait for the
final results of the first round of voting in our general election
cycle, there’s one trend I’m looking out for.

No, not whether –
if the Peoples Democratic Party returns the majority of legislators
again – that automatically means that their presidential candidate,
Goodluck Jonathan, is going to win. No serious contestant for executive
office (and after he has invested so much of our time, money and other
resources towards being elected, I think we can agree that Jonathan is
a serious candidate) ought to have their own electoral fortunes tied to
a group held in such thorough disregard as the nation’s legislators.

Even their own
party is anxious to get rid of them, having given its flag to only a
third of legislators to return to the National Assembly in June 2011.
That’s an improvement on the 80 per cent that it sacked in 2007, but if
this time the electorate happens to apply a ‘three strikes’ rule and,
deciding that after three attempts (in 1999, 2003 and 2007) that they
really can’t trust the PDP to pick good lawmakers, turn to other
parties to populate the Senate and House of Representatives, it won’t
necessarily mean that they won’t vote for the PDP’s presidential
candidate.

It’s also entirely
possible – even though doing the same thing time after time and
expecting a different result is the classic definition of madness –
that the electorate will again choose PDP candidates, perhaps consoling
themselves that the problem isn’t with the party, but with the people
it presented in past elections.

No, the trend I’ll
be watching for is whether one group that has been loud about its
entitlement (but short on everything else) will have any discernible
impact on the vote. ‘De yoot’ (not to be confused with their English
counterparts, ‘va yoof’) were on the lips of every candidate this
election. Perhaps, having seen what young people claim as their
achievement in the ‘Arab Spring’, our politicians thought that they had
better appear deeply concerned about the condition of our own ‘yoot’.

Even if they
hadn’t, ‘de yoot’ themselves have been insisting that since they are
over 60 per cent of the population, they are entitled. The National
Population Commission classifies only those between 18 and 24 as youth,
but assuming that they are including the under 18s: the 2006 Census
puts the 0-24 years population at 64 per cent of the total.

That’s a bigger
percentage than, for example, Nigerian women, who scraped in with an
anomalous 49.2 per cent of the total population, but who, thanks to the
Beijing Declaration and Platform of action, are supposed to have 35 per
cent of all appointments.

What is more, Mr.
President himself (at the end of a ‘debate’ in which the only woman
participating was the timekeeper whom he resolutely ignored) has
undertaken to keep the promise made at Beijing in 1995. True, he didn’t
explain what stopped him from achieving 35 per cent in the year that
he’s been in power so far, but the all-male panel didn’t ask him.

And his Congress
for Progressive Change challenger, whose military dictatorship started
the ball rolling by insisting that each state must appoint at least one
woman as a commissioner, wasn’t there to trumpet his own credentials …

In an election
when even middle-aged ‘uncles’ of 50 are touting themselves as ‘de yoot
candidate’, it isn’t surprising that young people tried to make
themselves a big story in the ongoing elections. Though it wasn’t quite
clear what they felt their numbers entitled them to.

If as long ago as
1991, the Population Commission recorded that 59 per cent of household
members searching for work were the children of the heads of those
households, the woeful failings in education and employment that have
characterised the intervening 20 years must be at least as worrying to
their parents as they are to ‘de yoot’.

Had numbers alone
justified special recognition, the status of the ‘giant of Africa’ with
its claim to house one fifth of the world’s black population ought to
reflect that. But it doesn’t. Worse still for ‘de yoot’, if the group
classified by the NPC as ‘children’ – the under-18s – are stripped
away, they shrink back to a much less impressive 13 per cent, with the
remaining 51 per cent left to whistle Eddie Cochran’s old Summertime
Blues song: ‘I’d like to help you son, but you’re too young to vote’.

Still, de yoot’s
insistence on their own importance seems to have won at least one
convert: at the end of last month an old-timer who started his own
(unsuccessful) campaign with the flat assertion that young people are
not qualified to run Nigeria, apparently discovered that they are
exactly what the country needs. But will the vote reflect that?

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