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ABUJA HEARTBEAT: Season of protest

ABUJA HEARTBEAT: Season of protest

To be or not to be?

That is the question that leaders the world over who have stayed more
than two decades in power must be asking themselves now, after the
avalanche of protests in the Arab world has crumbled otherwise
untouchable demi-gods. Of course, Muammar Gadaffi by now should know
that his days are numbered, not only in Libya but globally. He must be
beginning to realise that he is not invincible and so like the
unrepentant terrorist, is determined to take as many people as possible
with him.

During one of those
sessions where big issues are thrashed endlessly – sometimes leading to
disputes that will not benefit any of us, as the ‘big-big ogas’ being
argued about really do not care and do not know if we ‘small-small
people’ exist – somebody said, “If third term had succeeded, Nigerians
would have seized these worldwide protests as an opportunity to sweep
OBJ out”. Obasanjo did not succeed with that heinous plan and so we
really cannot say if my friend predicted correctly how Nigerians would
have reacted.

Everybody talked
about different protests taking place in their own domain and a good
friend of mine referred to a lady that could not recite the national
anthem but was still given the green light to go on being our
Ambassador without anybody protesting. I quickly cut in and talked
about the protest that is gathering momentum in the hushed voices of
entertainers.

Some comedians and
musicians asked me if entertainers could not file out and begin to
advocate for a Bank of Entertainment, where individuals involved could
go and access loans like is done in the Bank of Industry or Bank of
Agriculture.

One of the veterans
in the business complained about the bank he has been with for donkey
years refusing to give him a loan of just ₦300, 000 to prosecute a
small entertainment project that could employ about 10 youth monthly,
if actualised. They told him that the flow of cash in his account was
not consistent, so they could not give him the loan. He really was just
grumbling because if he takes up a placard who would listen to him?
Well, I have heard his cry that is why you are reading his protest.

The protest train
was passing by and everybody had to say something, so one woman talked
about how her children decided to protest by keeping quiet inside the
car for the rest of the journey home after school, when she went to
pick them up. After careful and very diplomatic insistence, she got the
youngest who was a five-year-old to talk and he said if their mummy
does not buy them ice cream from the sellers hanging around their
school gate, especially in this hot Abuja afternoon sun, like the
parents of their friends in class are wont to do, they would no longer
be chatting with her in the car on their way home from school.
According to my friend, “Dis kind of protest don wear face cap.”

The young lady said
she quickly had to put on her thinking cap in order to douse the
protest and kill that spirit once and for all. She said she told her
children that she has prepared their favourite meal at home as well as
restocked her fridge with their best fruit juice and she ended with
“all this ice-cream that is being sold on bicycles by these men by
their school gate are meant for the less privileged” adding that proper
food and juice meant for good children like them was waiting for at
home. All the placards on the faces of her children were dropped.

The protest ignited
under my nose was set upon me by the teachers in my children’s school
and whereas I was able to cleverly instruct my three children above
eight years, my little boy who just turned five came home asking
different questions at different intervals as the spirit gave him
remembrance.

“Daddy, how old are
you? What is your occupation? How much do you earn in a year? Do you
steal government money? Do you think I will still love you if you are
caught stealing government’s money? If I call you a thief, will you be
mad at me?” I wanted to make him know that indeed, I am already mad at
that teacher who put all these ideas in the mind of a little boy.

While I was trying
to protest to my wife about the little lad, the boy went to his school
bag and brought the written questions and they were his assignment for
the weekend. So are you going to answer the protesting boy or even the
teacher? Or are you not aware that the freedom of information bill has
scaled all huddles?

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‘Nigeria is capable of conducting credible elections’

‘Nigeria is capable of conducting credible elections’

President Goodluck Jonathan
yesterday said he is confident that Nigeria will conduct credible
elections despite the postponement of Saturday’s polls.

Mr Jonathan, who
addressed journalists in his home town, Otuoke, Bayelsa State, after
his inability to complete his accreditation due to non-availability of
officials of the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and
voting materials, appealed to Nigerians to bear with the electoral body.

“If we must do
something, it is better to delay and do it well,” he said in reference
to INEC’s postponement of the National Assembly elections till Monday,
April 4.

Mr. Jonathan, who
commended the enthusiasm and commitment displayed by Nigerians who
trooped out and even travelled far to vote in spite of the
restrictions, pleaded with them to show understanding by enduring till
Monday.

“It is part of the
sacrifices required to conduct credible polls,” he said, saying he was
returning to Abuja but would get back to his village again to vote on
Monday.

On his part, Kano
State governor and presidential candidate of the All Nigeria Peoples
Party, Ibrahim Shekarau expressed shock with the postponement. He also
called on Nigerians not to relent but still come out on Monday to cast
their votes.

Former Lagos State
governor and opposition ACN leader, Bola Tinubu however called for the
resignation of President Goodluck Jonathan. Mr. Tinubu, blamed the
problem on alleged interference of Mr. Jonathan’s cronies and federal
government agencies in the activities of the electoral body.

“Nigerians have
the right to vote and be voted for, and if you fail to achieve that
goal, the federal government should resign, period,” he said.

Femi Falana, a
Lagos–based lawyer, described the postponement of the election as a
national disgrace. He said the postponement is a sign that the nation
is still underdeveloped. According to him, importing election material
from another country is embarrassing.

He also doubted whether INEC will be able to pull off the election on the rescheduled date.

The Labour Party
candidate for Ondo South Senatorial District, Boluwaji Kunlere,
yesterday said the postponement of the election was worse than the
annulment of the 1993 election.

Mr Kunlere, who
spoke in Okitipupa Council, said the action of INEC has killed the
morale of Nigerians who came out to vote, noting that only God would
save Nigeria because, according to him, huge resources had been
committed to the election.

Jega did no wrong

While expressing
slight disappointment at the postponement of the election, Project 2011
SwiftCount, a coalition of civil society organisations spoke out in
support of Mr. Jega.

“Project 2011
Swift Count are peeved that today’s election could not be completed as
planned. But we support INEC Chairman Attahiru Jega’s difficult and
courageous decision to postpone the election until Monday. We believe
the decision is in the best interest of the people of Nigeria”, the
group states in a statement. “This had to be a very difficult decision
and it should have been made earlier, but it is the right decision for
Nigeria in the circumstances.”

Civil Right
Congress, a socio-democracy group has also supported the postponement.
President of the group, Shehu Sani, said his group’s observations show
that the elections was marred by problems of late delivery of
materials.

“An election
cannot be credible until it is conclusive and all inclusive. The
announced cancellation of the elections by INEC Chairman is inevitable
but could have been avoided,” he said.

However, he said, it will affect the morale and enthusiasm of Nigerians toward the election.

The Movement for
Democratic Change (MDS) also described the postponement as a “bitter
pill for credible process”. In a statement issued yesterday, the group
noted that “the decision was the best, given the challenges faced by
the commission if the sanctity of the electoral process were to be
protected”.

Politicians in
Bauchi State have condemned the postponement of the elections. The
National Publicity Secretary of ANPP, Comrade Muhammed Sabo said it was
unfortunate that INEC cancelled the elections.

Mr Sabo, who is
also the ANPP Candidate for the House of Representatives for Bauchi
Federal Constituency, described the action by INEC as “disappointing,
embarrassing and strange not only to the country but the country’s
image abroad”.

He said that the
postponement of the elections raised serious and critical questions on
whether Mr. Jega is fully prepared, determined, transparent and
credible to conduct free and fair elections in the country.

In his reaction, Bashir Othman Tofa of the ANPP said, “The
government must, as a matter of urgency, institute a high-powered
commission of inquiry into this shameful outing of the INEC. Those
found responsible, no matter how highly placed, must suffer the
consequences. Is this the new INEC that will ensure credible elections?
Our hopes are misplaced and our confidence shattered.”

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Better late than flawed

Better late than flawed

Attahiru
Jega, the Chairman of the Independent National Electoral Commission is
receiving a lot of flak, and many will say rightfully so, for the
fiasco which unfolded on Saturday. He postponed the National Assembly
election because according to him, an “unanticipated emergency we have
experienced with late arrival of result sheets in many parts of the
country. The result sheets are central to the elections and their
integrity.’’

The electoral body
appears to have had serious logistic failures that meant voting
materials like ballot papers and score sheets didn’t reach their
destination on time. This is the official explanation. However, in
Nigeria nothing is ever that straight forward. Theories abound about
the real reasons for the postponement. They include a conspiracy theory
that suggests Mr. Jega is being sabotaged by his own staff who have
been ‘settled’ so he can be disgraced and forced to resign; to rumours
about governors who hijacked election materials forcing Mr. Jega to
first consider postponing election in a few states, and then nationwide
because it became clear that theft of electoral material was once more
widespread than INEC first realised.

There is also a
rumour that this is a ploy by incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan to
postpone elections to extend his tenure of office. Then there are those
who say that the President has no hand in the fiasco unfolding but will
get blamed anyway because that is the nature of things in this country.

It really shouldn’t
matter which of these stories we believe. Whether it is the official
version by INEC or the many other stories making the rounds. What is
clear is that Mr. Jega and INEC were certain that under the
circumstances they could not hold credible polls. So should they have
gone ahead and conducted the elections anyway? It is a tough question
and the decision to postpone was probably not taken lightly.

This is probably
one of the most anticipated election in Nigeria in recent times, an
election that has swallowed billions and billions of naira. This is an
umpire that has put his personal integrity on the line. A man who has
promised Nigerians in no uncertain terms that he will deliver the
fairest elections they have ever seen.

On the balance, it
would appear Mr. Jega and his team made the right decision. And there
can be no doubt that it was a bold and courageous move. It isn’t easy
to admit failure especially on such a national scale and for an
assignment of such importance. It might have been easier for Mr. Jega
to allow the elections to take place, flawed as the process was and try
to wiggle his way out of trouble later.

Whatever the issues
are that led to this debacle; it is hard to see how the electoral body
can fix them before tomorrow. Nonetheless, many Nigerians appear
prepared to give Mr. Jega and INEC the benefit of the doubt. So the
electoral body should be praying for a miracle because if they are
unable to give Nigerians the elections they want and deserve tomorrow,
many will be demanding for someone’s head and that would be right.

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Can Jega take us to the Promised Land?

Can Jega take us to the Promised Land?

“The office of the INEC chairman is a
mausoleum of reputations. Hope Jega’s has not begun the journey to
embalmment,” a Nigerian commentator said of Saturday’s election
postponement.

The news first came via an
Ibadan-based journalist. He informed his editors in Lagos, that a
source told him, that INEC will postpone the National Assembly
elections. One of the editors dismissed it outrightly, saying there
would have been a formal announcement and the commission cannot do
that, “it would be disastrous,” he concluded.

But the other editors started to work
the phones. And bit by bit, information kept trickling in that the
elections would be cancelled. First, it was some parts of the Federal
Capital Territory. Then, Niger, Edo, Plateau, Ekiti, Rivers, and Taraba
States.

Some minutes after noon, the INEC big
masquerade, Attahiru Jega, in a press briefing, confirmed what some
Nigerians had suspected. The elections, he said, have been postponed
till Monday, April 4, while offering his apologies and regrets.

The initial reports across the country
were basically that of lateness. Anxious voters all ready and waiting
to exercise their franchise, but INEC officials were not in sight. A
drive across Oshodi-Isolo local government area of Lagos State between
9 and 9:30am revealed committed voters and security agents waiting on
the commission. Young men played football to while away the time and
accreditation of voters did not commence on time.

Mr. Jega’s excuse was that result
sheets were not ready for the elections. “The reason for this is the
unanticipated emergency we have experienced with late arrival of result
sheets in many parts of the country. The result sheets are central to
the elections and their integrity. Accordingly, in many places, our
officials have not reported at the polling units, making it now
difficult to implement the Modified Open Ballot procedure that we have
adopted,” the chairman said.

Mr. Jega assumed office in July 2010
and by August, the Senate approved N87.7 billion for INEC under his
watch; a situation that had never been witnessed before in the country.
The money was meant for vehicles, collapsible ballot boxes, voter
register review, hotel accommodation for state INEC electoral
commissioners, and other items. Mercifully, a further request for N6.6
billion last February to complete the voters’ registration that was
extended by a week, was turned down by the National Assembly.

Questions, more questions

As Nigerians debate the propriety or
otherwise of this postponement, there are many questions that ought to
be answered. The country was shut down yesterday and if the elections
will hold tomorrow, who bears the cost of tomorrow’s economic
paralysis? How true is it that some state governors’ attempts to
manipulate the elections prompted the non-availability of the result
sheets, thereby forcing a postponement? Is it better to suffer
postponement than to have elections fraught with irregularities? Will
anybody bear the cost of this late delivery, after all the money the
exercise has gulped?

The political science professor came
to office with a lot of goodwill, as nearly all Nigerians admitted he
is one of the best, for the thankless job of elections’ chief umpire.
Moreover, he was part of an electoral reform panel headed by former
Chief Justice Mohammed Uwais and the INEC job offered him a vantage
position to correct some of the ills the panel identified. But while
some Nigerians are still willing to give him the benefit of the doubt,
as seen in their comments after the postponement, will tomorrow’s
elections not witness similar hiccups? Is the commission truly ready
for the elections?

Good and credible election used to be regarded as a fanciful
concept, something beyond the reach of successive electoral bodies in
our country; can Attahiru Jega take us to the Promised Land?

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Analysis of performance of banks in 2010

Analysis of performance of banks in 2010

A few more banks have released their 2010 year end results, some of which have fallen below the expectation of industry watchers. However, the trend that was common among the institutions was the drop in earnings, due largely to the reduction in lending. Through a mixture of cost-cutting strategies and efficiency in deploying assets, most of the firms still posted impressive profits.

Diamond Bank posted a profit-before-tax of N4.227 billion from a loss of N12.4 billion in 2009, while profit after tax rose to N1.33 billion from a loss of N8.17 billion in 2009.

However, gross earnings were down 16 percent to N91 billion for the 12 months period ended 31 December, 2010 (from N108 billion, 12 month period ended 31 December 2009). Net interest income was also down 16 percent to N49.0 billion (from N42.2 billion in 2009).

The bank’s total assets down 9 percent to N594.8billion (from N650.4 billion in 2009), total loans to customers down 5 percent toN312.2 billion (from N329.8 billion in 2009), while customer deposits were down by 15 percent N412.0 billion (from N482.0 billion in 2009).

‘Nightmarish’ performance

Some finance experts have however, expressed disappointment at the bank’s figures, saying it is “much worse than expected.”

“This result pales substantially when stacked against our forecasts. Although gross earnings were 7.7 percent ahead of our forecast of N84.5 billion, both Profit Before Tax (PBT) and Profit After Tax (PAT) overwhelmingly under performed our forecasts of N10.2 billion and N7.1 billion by 53.3 percent and 81.2 percent respectively. We are constrained to call this a really poor bottom line performance. The bank, expectably, did not propose any corporate actions in the wake of what is a nightmarish performance,” Afrinvest, a finance firm, said.

Industry watchers say the bank might have had to take a substantially larger impairment in the form of provision for bad loans, given the really poor margins on display as they do not expect such a ‘massive’ deterioration in operating margins.

The bank’s officials declined to speak on the figures when contacted by our reporter, saying its reaction would be based on a statement it issued on Tuesday.

In the statement, Uzoma Dozie, ED Corporate Banking, Diamond Bank, said: “In compliance with our enhanced risk management policies, the Corporate Banking unit continued to unwind positions carried over from the economic slowdown in 2009. This has enhanced liquidity and reduced NPLs. Provisions are starting to come back to normal levels as the economy returns to its pre-2008 growth path. This bodes well for the unit as we take up new opportunities arising from telecoms and government infrastructure spending in 2011.”

Robust credit growth

In a similar industry move, First City Monument Bank said its pre-tax profit rose to N9.02 billion in 2010 from N856.6 million the previous year, and declared a N0.35 dividend per share while gross earnings rose to N62.67 billion from 35.79 billion naira in 2009, according to a Reuters report.

“In our view, a good set of results from FCMB, with the tax benefit being the single reason for our earnings estimate miss. The 2010 NIM (net interest margin) squeeze (which is the difference between interest income and interest expense as a percentage of assets reflects broader sector trends, while robust credit growth and cost control are encouraging, we think. It is also good to see asset quality stabilising” Renaissance Capital, an investment bank, said.

Ecobank Transnational Inc. (ETI) the parent company of the pan-African banking group also made its report for the year ended 31st December 2010 public last week.

The bank’s report showed a 4.6 percent decline in gross earnings to $1.1bn from the $1.2bn recorded in 2009. Profit before tax (PBT) surged by 67.3 percent to $169.0m from $101.1m, while profit after tax (PAT) more than doubled to $131.8m, 104.1 percent higher than the $64.6m posted in 2009.

“Gross Earnings fell 9.7 percent short of our projected $1.3bn, while both PBT and PAT fell short of our forecasts of $170.6m and $131.9m by 0.9 percent and 0.1 percent respectively. This impressive performance is in line with expectations, as we anticipated a substantial reduction in its cost of risk due to the debt clean-up activities of AMCON on its Nigerian subsidiary that accounted for as much as 70.0 percent ($98.0m) of the 24.0 percent increase to $140.0m in group provisions.” Afrinvest said.

Stanbic IBTC’s gross earnings in its 2010 year end report declined by 5.1 percent (from N59.8 billion to N56.7 billion), while PBT and PAT grew by 30.8 percent (from N10.3 billion to N13.5 billion) and 16.2 percent (from N8.1billion to N9.5 billion) respectively, when measured against the corresponding period in 2009.

On this, Afrinvest stated that the bank’s gross earnings decline could be attributed to its aggressive growth play on the Nigerian market that may have seen it give up some yield on interest bearing assets.

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Nigerians prepare for another budget imbroglio

Nigerians prepare for another budget imbroglio

The country appears set for another budget showdown as the executive and the legislature resume their long standing disagreement over budget figures. Finance minister, Olusegun Aganga said last week that the 2011 appropriation bill passed by the Senate is not “implementable” due to the alterations carried out by the lawmakers.

The Senate last week passed a budget of N4.972 trillion, N752 billion higher than the initial figure of N4.22 trillion submitted by President Goodluck Jonathan to a joint session of the National Assembly in December. The appropriation passed by the Senate was predicated on a benchmark of $75 per barrel of crude up from the $64.7 projected by the executive and a crude oil production of 2.3 million barrels per day.

The National Assembly jacked up its allocations for capital and recurrent expenditure by 52.2 percent from N111.24 billion to N232.74 billion, while reducing amount earmarked for debt servicing from N542.3 billion to N445.09 billion.

Mr Aganga recently expressed concern over the volume of deficit and the level of borrowing that this would trigger.

“The 2011 budget is supposed to signal the beginning of fiscal consolidation, but we now have another expansionary budget which is unimplementable. If we are to build our economy on a solid foundation and avoid the boom and burst of the past, it is critical that we embrace discipline in the way we manage public finances. We cannot continue like this,” the minister said.

“If you adopt pro-cyclical fiscal policies then you go into boom and burst all the time so you need to have consistent robust fiscal policies that are relevant to your economy. The level of recurrent expenditure is unsustainable. Unless we deal with that we cannot deal with the problem of allocation to capital projects.” He said a huge budget deficit would translate to government resorting to domestic borrowing, a situation which experts say would further crowd out the private sector from the bond market. “It is one of the reasons why we say we have to look at it again. We need to reduce borrowing and we need to improve the quality and efficiency of spending,” he said.

However, while the minister was lamenting the workability of the budget, the National Assembly is insisting that the budget should be implemented the way it has been passed. Chairman, House of Representatives Committee on Finance, John Enoh, was quoted as saying that no budget that was unimplementable provided the government had the political will and its agencies the requisite capacity to implement its provisions.

“If Aganga is talking about the Federal Government implementing the budget 100 percent, then he may have a point. But which of the budgets passed in the last 10 years has been fully implemented by the executive? ,” he was quoted to have said.

Private sector joins the fray

While the battle rages, the organised private sector has taken sides, on the ground that the economy has been at the receiving end of poorly crafted budgets over the years. Frank Nweke, director general of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group said it was no longer acceptable for the national assembly to stifle the other sectors of the economy.

“This is not acceptable. We recognise that the private sector must speak up. If it is necessary to institute legal action to seek interpretation of the constitution of this country as to who has legal powers to appropriate fund and whether the legislature has the power to distort the budget as it does each year, it is something that we are prepared to take up,” he further said.

He is not alone on this as the Institute of Directors (IoD) of Nigeria is also prepared to challenge the issue in the court. Chike Nwanze, president of the Institute said it was time the legislators begin to put the entire country into consideration before tinkering with the budget. “If we have to institute legal action, we are ready to consider that option,” Mr Nwanze said.

Opeyemi Agbaje, lawyer and senior consultant at Resources and Trust Company Limited, a strategy and business advisory firm said it was better for the executive to have this confrontation with the National Assembly once and for all. “Under Obasanjo, this was a recurring problem but in the end Obasanjo chose to implement only those portions of the budget he found acceptable. Yar’adua basically always allowed the NASS to have its way, leading to huge fiscal expansion between 2007 and 2010.” According to him, the constitution allows the previous year’s recurrent budget to operate for six months (till June 2011) so that the operations of government can continue in the event of non-passage of the budget. “It may also be useful if the Supreme Court resolves the legal duties and roles of the executive vis-a-vis the legislature once and for all. Unfortunately the impasse will hold up capital expenditure proposals contained in the budget,” he said.

Constitutional crisis

However, Mr Aganga expressed fear about the ambiguity of certain aspects of the constitution. “We expect to have a dialogue because we all have to work together and usually it is resolved but the constitution in some areas is not clear on the roles and powers of the executive and legislature on this. If the executive decides not to sign the budget, then after 30 days, the legislature can actually hold a resolution and pass it. That is the constitution we have today.” With elections underway, deliberations on the budget may not hold under the current house leadership. A new legislative session may not commence until well after the swearing in on May 29. Under the current scenario, only a political solution may resolve this imminent logjam. What then is the way out?

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‘Nigeria needs fundamental rethinking to progress’

‘Nigeria needs fundamental rethinking to progress’

Nigeria’s expansive budget

We run an economy today that is based on budgeting. But, to a large extent, our culture does not encourage budgeting. In advanced economies that we are copying, if one lives on a monthly salary, it is difficult to expect one to share with members of one’s family, outside those in one’s nuclear family. In some instances, as one’s children attain the age of 18, parents would ask them to move out to get a council flat to live on their own.

There is nothing like: “Sorry, I was passing by and remembered my relation lives here and I said I should stop by to greet him”, and perhaps, expect that in appreciation of the courtesy, one would reach into one’s pockets to accommodate the unexpected visitor. From which budget is that going to come from?

That is why that, even from the federal level, government officials complain about the budget even before they begin to implement it, because what the executive submitted the lawmakers have gone to inject several other things for their selfish interests, thereby making it too expensive for government to manage within the limited resources available.

At individual level, it appears budgets are not meant to be followed. The point is that there are cultural issues that continue to militate against what we want to achieve both as individuals and as a nation.

The good news is that we can tinker with those cultural issues. But, the only way we can do that is to document those issues. Are we documenting the fact that our patronage and rent seeking culture can come between us and the achievement of the objectives of our national budgets?

Or are we aware that our culture is at the roots of the do-or-die politics that is playing out in our polity as a result of the prevalence of a patronage culture, whereby anyone that gets political appointment gets thousands of people hanging on his neck for one support or the other?

Role of corruption

Often we talk about corruption. Nigerians were not born corrupt. If we take the sample of seven year-old Nigerians today and compare with the opinions of their counterparts in Europe on corruption, the truth is that we are most likely going to discover that the latter would be more corrupt than the former.

Children in Europe are more exposed to television and other media, like the Internet, than their counterparts in Nigeria. So, at what point did we lose our innocence to become the most corrupt?

In 1927, Nnamdi Azikiwe went to work in one of the deepest coal mines in West Pennsylvania for six weeks. On coming out to collect his pay, the Janitor handed him only $294.95. He rejected it and threw a challenge at the white guy that he has been short changed. Despite threats to deal with him for his boldness to make such accusation, Zik insisted to have his correct pay. When he was allowed to do the calculation, it was found out that, indeed, about $200 was skimmed off his money.

Today, more than 94 years later, Nigerians, who are the direct descendants of Zik, are first treated in any part of the world as corrupt people, until proven innocent, while the descendants of that white Janitor, who wanted to defraud Zik in 1927, are seen as the epitome of anti-corruption and cleanliness. Yet, Nigerians are not saying anything to ourselves.

Nigerians are not corrupt. Being stupid might be the better word, because we see our leaders steal money from our treasures, monies they, sometimes, don’t need, and go to establish gigantic businesses that help develop other peoples’ economies, leaving the people to die of poverty.

Nigerians need to be more analytical and deeper in our though processes to inspire change.

Getting out of the economic woods

The ideal starting point is for all Nigerians to become less and less selfish and curb our ego. The difference between Nigeria and the advanced countries is the attitude of the citizens. One would not be known for the biggest houses one builds in one’s village when one is gone, but from the value of the sustainable work one did while alive.

We need to undergo a structural mental adjustment as a country to inspire a turnaround in our economy. What Nigeria needs to become a great country is just a few good men, who know what is right, and are ready to lead the change process, as not all Nigerians can change at the same time.

Living in poverty amidst wealth

Nigeria is not that rich, even in natural resources. The wealth of any country is not measured by the number of extractive resources it has, because the future does not belong to these countries that extract and export natural resources, but to those who think and control the wealth of knowledge.

As was documented during the time of the Dutch disease that those countries with natural resources, like crude oil, was likely going to ignore the other potentialities.

Today, as a result of oil, Nigerians have tended to forget the development of the most important resource – the human brain. That is why government continues to focus all its attention to explore, produce and export all the crude oil abroad, and use all the revenues to import refined products for our domestic consumption. What we do is that we import what we have and export what we do not need.

United States produces 8.5million barrels of oil a day, and not one single barrel is sold abroad. They are stored in giant reservoirs for the rainy day. Recall the recent oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico which attracted a lot of global attention by environmentalists. But, what happens in the Niger Delta, as a result of decades of oil exploitation? The western companies have devastated the environment and left the people permanently devalued, just because the technology to explore and produce the crude oil belongs to them.

What if Nigeria did not have oil?

Perhaps, if Nigeria didn’t have oil we would not have governors driving around in official convoys of more than 25 bullet-proof SUVs.

If Nigeria did not have crude oil, probably our expectations would have been managed better. Not only should we manage our expectations from political office holders, who always believe they should be seen as demi-gods, but also the expectations from even the common man in the streets. With that we can focus more on things we can do to make our country a great place, rather than what we can get from our country.

When we look at the way things are going in Nigeria and compare with what is happening in other climes, one is convinced that we are heading for extinction. It is very easy to set us against ourselves.

Nigerians may be laughing over the crisis in Libya and Egypt today. But, if anyone wants to cause a serious upheaval in Nigeria, all that needs to be done is to go to a few markets to amplify a claim of what one religious group has done against another, or one tribal sentiment against another tribe, and the country would collapse on its head in minutes.

When countries want to develop, either to stay at the top or rise, they don’t spare any expense to go at it. No resource is too costly for them to remain at the top.

Sharia banking and the legal question Societies develop on the basis of trust. When trust disappears, fear creeps in and society goes back to that state that Thomas Hobbes describes as ‘short and brutish’.

If there was trust, one would not need to talk about whether Sharia banking is in the constitution or not, because often we tend to be so fixated about constitution.

From the finance perspective, Sharia banking is a product of financial diversification. The Islamic Bank of Britain has branches all over the country and there is no furore about it, as we have in Nigeria. Islamic banking is growing around the world, and Nigeria cannot afford to be left out from the numerous benefits.

We need to have more instruments in the banking industry. If we say we want to become the financial hub of the region or continent, we cannot have the kind of bland banking we have here to get there. We need alternatives for business, beyond collecting deposits and giving loans at huge interest rates.

Nigeria reflects African economy

The sad thing is that a lot of these things about Nigeria also apply to the development in most African countries, especially sub-Saharan Africa. It is not about how others have helped under-develop Africa, but what we have been doing wrong within. The truth is that except we right the wrongs, or the rest of the world correct the wrong they have been doing to Africa, then we cannot make progress.

If we stop being corrupt and undisciplined, and we still live in a global society where the influences of foreign countries can disorganise all our imaginations and calculations, then we won’t get there. If, suddenly, all the foreign countries forget about their personal interests for African countries to make progress, and we don’t change our ways, we wouldn’t also make progress.

We have got to a point where things have become so bad that we must start to solve all the problems at the same time. It is not enough to say, let’s start with fixing energy, because even if there was adequate supply of electricity today and the structures remain unchanged, we probably would not know what to do with it. It is so bad that just fixing that alone would not solve a lot of problems. That is why government has spent about $16billion in that sector since 1999, yet not enough result.

Africa needs to be Crushed

‘Crushed’ is an acronym for the strategies one believes Nigeria, nay Africa, needs to take, if it must get out of the cycle of underdevelopment. It is the title of my latest book: Crushed: Africa’s Tortuous Quest for Development, which has highlighted those fundamentals that are lacking in the continent’s quest for development.

C stands for courage. We need to have the courage to curb corruption.

R stands for being realistic and reasonable in terms of our ambition and the things we can achieve as a nation. It also means that we need to accept responsibility for the things we want to achieve for our lives.

U stands for unity, without which we are finished. This is something we do not have. We can mouth it, but our actions and pronouncements daily shows that we are not ready to be united as a people.

S stands for Strategy. It is not enough to wish or pray we should be great. Yet, it is not enough to merely work for greatness. We should be able to imagine the journey, catalogue the likely obstacles (both internal and external), and plan appropriate responses from day one.

H stands for hard work, history and humility. Development is not a destination but what one works for. Winston Churchill said ‘Any nation that forgets its past is not entitled to a future’. We don’t care about our own history. Schools don’t teach history anymore. Where they do, one only sees colonial history being taught, and nothing about contemporary history. We need to document our history to provide the basis for learning how to build our future.

E is for education. Though Nigeria has education, there is a disconnect between what we have and what we really need.

D stands for democracy. We run by far the most expensive democracy in the world, where lawmakers are earning, indisputably, more than the U.S. president. Our democracy has become a huge drainpipe, more problem than it solves.

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Is gold jewellery a good investment?

Is gold jewellery a good investment?

Chidinma Okoro has been unemployed since she got laid off in September last year. Her husband’s previously thriving business has struggled for a few years. This made Mrs Okoro’s contribution all the more critical for the family. With school fees due, things had become quite desperate. She then heard about a friend who had sold some of her gold and received a handsome amount for it.

Mrs Okoro gathered three gold chains-one of them broken, two pairs of earrings, and one half of a pair, five gold pendants and some old fashioned pieces that she hardly ever wore. The dealer weighed up her haul and gave Mrs Okoro N360, 000.

She was overjoyed, as they now had enough money to take care of their immediate needs. It is at such economic crossroads that people often sell little used but valuable jewellery to help to settle their bills and debts.

For those who keep gold jewellery, selling it at this time is all the more tempting with adverts all over the Internet and with gold dealers beckoning. The offers are so appealing. Before you decide to go ahead, carefully consider some of these issues.

How much is your jewellery worth?

Unfortunately, many desperate consumers are getting fleeced. Adverts tend to publish phrases like “highest prices guaranteed”, “best prices paid”, “competitive prices” to attract clients; buyers often appear reluctant to reveal what they will pay per ounce or gramme of gold. There is usually a wide variance between a fair price and what the seller actually receives. Indeed, if you take gold jewellery of the same weight and karat to a number of dealers, you will be surprised at the number of different offers.

Have at least a rough idea of what your jewellery is worth before you approach potential buyers. Start by obtaining the current spot price of gold, to at least give you some idea of what to expect, otherwise, you run the risk of accepting a ridiculous offer that doesn’t really reflect the true value of your pieces.

Who will buy your gold?

Trade your gold through reputable and reliable jewellery dealers who have been in the business for some years; they are likely to be more transparent in their dealings as they have a reputation to protect. In the alternative, you can choose dealers with good customer ratings, or who come highly recommended by your usual jeweller or trusted friends.

Protect your gold Secure your expensive gold jewellery in a home safe, bank safe deposit box, or other protected location. It is a good idea to properly insure your jewellery for its full value so you have additional protection against loss from theft or fire. To do this, you will usually be required to purchase additional coverage from your insurance company through an endorsement. In this regard, be sure to keep receipts and any documents or certificates safely, with an additional copy stored on file or in an alternative location as an extra precaution. These will be important should you ever have to make a claim.

Is jewellery a good investment?

In the traditional sense of investing, a good investment is one which appreciates steadily in value over time. Jewellery is a bit like a new car; you tend to lose value the moment you drive it out of the car show room. Second-hand jewellery usually attracts much less than its initial value. The overall value of jewellery must also take into account more subjective elements, such as the design or style, fashion trends and the skill or workmanship involved in crafting the pieces. The mark up on jewellery can be so significant as all these elements are included in its cost. This all makes gold jewellery a very worthwhile gift, but not necessarily an ideal investment. One should thus be cautious when purchasing gold jewellery for investment purposes.

Research has shown that gold does add some stability to a diversified investment portfolio consisting of the traditional asset classes, including cash, bonds, mutual funds and stocks. Some advisors even go as far as recommending that a balanced portfolio should include between 5 and 10 percent allocation to gold. Commodity prices tend to be volatile and gold is no different so it is important to spread your risk.

There are various ways of investing in gold. These include: investing directly through the purchase of certified gold coins or sovereigns, gold bullion or bars, or indirectly through shares in gold mining companies, gold based mutual funds, or Exchange Traded Funds (EFT), which are a most popular vehicle for investing in gold. This provides a convenient way of owning the metal as you don’t keep physical possession of it, and as such do not run the attendant risks. Yet one has the flexibility of being able to sell and readily convert it into cash.

Investing in gold has been a widely accepted financial practice for thousands of years. In recent times, as investors all over the world have seen their asset values plummet, from real estate to stocks, it is no surprise that with gold hitting record levels of over $1,400 per ounce, even the most conservative and traditional investors have begun to look to this metal as a good alternative. Gold jewellery has been a convenient and enjoyable way to preserve wealth and is a means to transfer that wealth through generations in a form that has, not only monetary value, but significant sentimental value as well.

Write to personalfinance@234next.com with your questions and comments. All letters will be considered for publication, and if selected, may be edited.

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Nigeria rises to the call

Nigeria rises to the call

The impending
collapse of Laurent Gbagbo’s regime will mark not just the end of that
country’s nightmare: it will signal the return of Nigeria as a voice
and a leader of Africa.

When Gbagbo and his
cronies declined last November to accept the results of an election in
which he was beaten by eight percentage points, the Jonathan
administration took a principled stand and has been out in front ever
since.

Foreign Minister
Odein Ajumogobia has worked assiduously behind the scenes and publicly
to shape the diplomatic environment, to isolate Gbagbo, to impose
sanctions, and to point him in the direction of the exit. The aim of
this was not just to respect democracy but to avoid the violence that
follows in an ethnically and religiously complicated society when it is
not honored.

This is no small
matter. In the world of international diplomacy, no censure of a state
or a leader is possible without the assent of the region. The Economic
Community of West African States (Ecowas), under the Chairmanship of
Goodluck Jonathan, recognized Allasane Ouattara on December 8, and
called on Gbagbo to honor the outcome of the electorate.

In early March,
after months of doomed mediation and wrangling as it battled to speak
with one voice, the African Union recognized Ouattara as the legitimate
winner of the election and endorsed a plan for him to set up a national
unity government.

On March 14
Ouatarra stopped in Abuja to meet with President Jonathan, the one
leader on the continent he chose to consult before heading back to
Abidjan for the home stretch.

On Wednesday night
the United Nations Security Council voted for Gbagbo’s removal and for
a freeze of all Gbagbo’s foreign assets. As in the other initiatives,
this was driven by Nigeria, this time in concert with France.

The longer that
Ggagbo has stayed on, toying with volatile ethnic and religious
sentiment, the more the prospect of massive bloodletting has risen and
the violence of Gbagbo’s end days are a grim testament to that.

Despite the
determination of the Gbagbo forces to fight to the bitter end, the
military push from the reconstituted Republican forces coupled with
economic and financial sanctions and steadily growing isolation – in
the teeth of vicious propaganda from the Gbagbo side – has made his
downfall inevitable.

And, while no-one
can celebrate the tragic killings currently underway in Abidjan and in
the west of the country, this will have been a victory for democrats in
Africa.

It contrasts and
counteracts places like Zimbabwe, where Robert Mugabe has lost election
after election and deployed horrific violence against his opponents,
but remains firmly in power.

The South African
Development Community (SADC) has pussy footed around Mugabe’s abuses
for years. Apart from never resolving the crisis, this sets a poor
example. Every bad loser of an election that gets away with using
violence and the instruments of state to stay in power encourages the
next one. The line in the sand that was drawn under Gbagbo is of
importance to more than Ivory Coast.

The firm leadership
and deft diplomacy that Nigeria has shown is desperately needed on this
continent. And Nigeria will have to continue to play a leadership role
as the international community assists the reconstruction of a
shattered Ivory Coast.

The AU represents a
number of often conflicting and competing states, and is at its best as
a mediator but it can no more take the lead than the European Union
can. As has been shown recently in Libya it is only states, like France
or the United Kingdom that can take the decisive steps, for better or
worse, that actually make a difference.

There was a time
when, for all their sins, Thabo Mbeki and Olusegun Obasanjo had a
broader vision for Africa and were taken seriously in the councils of
the world. But during the last four years there has been a vacuum in
pan-African leadership – unless one would use that word to describe
Moammer Ghaddafi who as Chair of the African Union spent his time
fantasizing about a United States of Africa (with its capital in Libya).

Nigeria has a long
and respectable reputation for peace keeping in Africa. But as everyone
knows, the brand has been tarnished by military rule, corruption and
the debacle of the 2007 election.

Nigeria under
President Umaru Yar ‘Adua took a backseat. A country of 150 million, a
model and a challenge of Muslim and Christian co-existence, a holder of
great strategic natural resources, the most populous country in Africa,
was not afforded a lot of respect.

Since taking office
last year, President Jonathan has turned that around – not with grand
gestures but rather by showing Nigeria as a responsible citizen of the
global community. Nigeria is building a case for a permanent seat on
the UN Security Council.

As a non-permanent
member of the UN Security Council, Nigeria voted to authorize the
action that potentially prevented the slaughter of thousands of people
in Libya. There are many who disagree with that position, and the armed
intervention that followed, but at least it was a position. Nigeria
stood up and was counted.

This is not to say
that Nigeria’s prominence in global forums should be dependent on its
remaining a reliable ally of the West. The country has to be judged on
its strategic and human importance, and its ability to give voice to a
billion Africans, especially on those issues that touch the continent.

To do that, Nigeria
needs to put its own house in order. The economic growth that is
forecast for the next few years, and that is forging a new and surging
middle class, must be accompanied by social provision for the poor and
the underclass. Nigeria cannot afford to be near the bottom of every
social indicator.

And an election
that is at the very least a marked improvement on 2007 is essential for
Nigeria to be able to defend democracy on the continent, as it has in
Ivory Coast.

Phillip van Niekerk is the former editor of South Africa’s Mail & Guardian newspaper.

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Breaking News

Breaking News

Mrs. Jonathan needs no help

The spokesperson for President Goodluck
Jonathan has finally reacted to the money laundering accusations that
have been trailing Patience Jonathan, wife of the Nigerian president.

“A false money laundering accusation can
do absolutely nothing to taint the perfect image of the very popular
Patience Goodluck candidate,” he stated.

“We couldn’t agree more,” spokesperson for Nigerian Twitters said. “The woman has done all the tainting all by herself.”

Glo, MTN delay election results

The Independent National Electoral
Commission has issued a statement blaming two of Nigerian’s leading
telecommunications networks for result verification delays.

Over the last week, the commission added
Nigerians to its Blackberry messenger list, in an attempt to be more
efficient with delivering information regarding the elections. It had
sought to be able to verify the results of elections by pinging voters.

Unfortunately, and in what was
considered completely unpredictable, the plan was thwarted when most of
the phone networks seemed jammed at the end of the first round of
elections.

“INEC and its budget cannot be blamed
for any delays,” an INEC source declared. “It is the fault of mobile
network providers who failed to deliver all our messages. The fate of
this country rested on Blackberry PINs and pings and, as you can all
see, they have let us down.”

Cecelia Ibru gives back to society

On behalf of all Nigerians, Oceanic
Bank’s former CEO, Cecilia Ibru, has filed a suit against Nduka
Obaigbena of ThisDay newspapers, accusing him of false advertising and
promotion with the election polls published in his newspaper last week.

Mrs. Ibru, who suffered a fall from
glory when she was sacked as bank head for her gross incompetence, has
now openly blamed Mr. Obaigbena and his continual awards for leading her
astray.

“Being piled with accolades which read
“Banker of the Year” and “Most Successful Bank of the Year” contributed
to bringing my demise,” she argued. “I cannot stand aside and watch any
other Nigerians suffer the same fate, which include overconfidence and
overspending.”

My enemies caused my fall, says Tinubu

At a recent Women in Politics awards
ceremony hosted by the Nigerian Feminists Association, Oluremi Tinubu,
senatorial aspirant for the Action Congress of Nigeria and wife of ACN
kingpin, Bola Tinubu, suffered a stage tumble.

While mounting the podium to receive her
award for Breakthrough Female in Politics, the former Lagos State first
lady tripped on her four-inch Christian Louboutin heels and landed on
her back, with dirt speckling her perfectly coiffured weave.

“My enemies are behind this,” Mrs.
Tinubu insisted, as half of the hall rushed to aid her to her feet.
“Jealousy, that’s what it is. Nothing but jealousy.” Well, duh! Of
course, it’s jealousy. Have you seen her campaign posters? Only a blind
woman wouldn’t be jealous of that perfection. Frankly, no one
understands why the ACN boss lady has bothered to do any campaigning.
The photos speak for themselves.

Shekarau keeps winning

American
president, Barack Obama, has recruited ANPP presidential candidate,
Ibrahim Shekarau, into the league of extraordinary orators. This comes
as no surprise to anyone who watched the presidential debate in which
Mr. Shekarau bamboozled the public with his eloquence, with the same
convincing tenacity as President Obama himself.

As if this approval nod from Mr. Obama
was not enough hipster endorsement already, musician Naeto C will follow
in fellow musician D’banj’s footsteps by offering a remix of the
popular hit song “Ten over Ten”. He will be replacing the words “shikena
shikena shikena o” with “Shekarau Shekarau Shekarau o”.

Whatever the outcome of this election, one thing is clear: Mr. Shekarau just keeps winning.

Do you fancy yourself a satirist? Send
your Breaking News spoof pieces to opinion@234next.com, for possible
publication on this page

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